3 Ways Dems Can Still Lose BIG In 2018
Who will have the advantage in the 2018 midterms? Will the economy keep booming? Will Democrats develop an effective messaging strategy? Can Trump work his foreign policy magic again?
These are all questions that will be answered before November, and the answers to these questions will inevitably shape the outcome of the election.
Conventional wisdom says the party out of power, in this case, Democrats have a good shot at winning seats in the midterm election. Recent history showed this to be true in 2006 when Democrats reclaimed the House and Senate. Could it happen again in 2018?
One report from NBC News is throwing cold water on that idea. Here’s why:
A January Quinnipiac poll found that 66 percent of U.S. voters believe the economy is “excellent” or “good,” up from 63 percent in December. This is the highest positive rating of the economy since the poll first asked the question in 2001.
And the economy looks unlikely to change for the worse anytime soon. Many forecasters predict growth at close to 3 percent for the rest of the year. Jobs are abundant and unemployment is shrinking. In mid-January, jobless claims were at a 45-year low.
Democrats’ (Lack of) Agenda:
Another problem is that Democrats do not appear to have much of an agenda beyond helping illegal immigrants — over which they nearly shut down the government before backing off. Democratic leadership backed off for good reason: Relatively speaking, no one cares.
Only 5 percent of Americans listed “Immigration/illegal immigrants” as their top concern in a December 2017 Gallup poll. The other big Democratic focus, the Russian investigation, is even less of a priority. Fewer than 0.5 percent cited the “Situation with Russia” as their biggest issue, despite constant efforts by Democrats and the press to highlight it.
If Trump Defuses North Korea:
This is the year something must be done, or not, to stop North Korea from developing a nuclear weapons arsenal that can attack the United States.
The signs are that Trump is inclined to face this existential menace. Eradicating the threat might take removing Korean strongman Kim Jong-Un from power, whether through economic or military pressure. Such a confrontation — even if difficult and costly — would likely result in a rallying around the flag and the president that would not dissipate before Election Day.
Read more at NTK.