Expert Political Analysts Predict Trump Win In 2020

Expert analysts expect President Trump to win a second term despite his poll numbers.

“Trump would win according to the models — and pretty handily. In three or four of them, it would be pretty close. He’s got low gas prices, low unemployment and a lot of other political variables at his back. The only exception is his popularity, which matters a lot. If that falls off a cliff it would make a big difference.”

Oregon Live:

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President Donald Trump has never been able to reach a 50-percent job-approval rating in mainstream opinion surveys, a historically poor polling performance for a commander-in-chief.

Doesn’t matter. He’s still on his way to re-election, say seasoned political data analysts.

Yale professor Ray Fair’s long-established political model relies on the economy — specifically the gross domestic product and inflation — to predict election outcomes. Former Obama Administration official Steven Rattner pointed out this week that, according Fair’s model, “Mr. Trump’s vote share would ordinarily be as high as 56.1 percent. But that’s before factoring in his personality.” Even with Trump’s temperament pulling down his total, he’ll still win, the Yale Model concludes. His vote should end up at about 54 percent. His Democratic opponent is expected to get only 45.4 percent.

American University professor Allan Lichtman, one of the few political prognosticators in 2016 who predicted Trump would win, has come to the same conclusion. He too believes the president will win again next year. His method involves examining 13 determinants ranging from whether there’s a serious third-party candidate to the health of the economy.

“Trump wins again in 2020 unless six of 13 key factors turn against him,” Lichtman told CNN this week. “I have no final verdict yet because much could change during the next year. Currently, the President is down only three keys: Republican losses in the [2018] midterm elections, the lack of a foreign policy success, and the president’s limited appeal to voters.” More

This is the same guy who was the only one to predict a Donald Trump win in 2016 and now he’s saying it’s likely to happen again.

Democrats go insane on Twitter:

Trump Derangement Syndrome has morphed into a full-blown mental health crisis in the Democratic Party and it continues to overfeed their childish temper tantrums and complete insanity!

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