Expert Political Analysts Predict Trump Win In 2020
Expert analysts expect President Trump to win a second term despite his poll numbers.
“Trump would win according to the models — and pretty handily. In three or four of them, it would be pretty close. He’s got low gas prices, low unemployment and a lot of other political variables at his back. The only exception is his popularity, which matters a lot. If that falls off a cliff it would make a big difference.”
— The Oregonian (@Oregonian) May 29, 2019
President Donald Trump has never been able to reach a 50-percent job-approval rating in mainstream opinion surveys, a historically poor polling performance for a commander-in-chief.
Doesn’t matter. He’s still on his way to re-election, say seasoned political data analysts.
Yale professor Ray Fair’s long-established political model relies on the economy — specifically the gross domestic product and inflation — to predict election outcomes. Former Obama Administration official Steven Rattner pointed out this week that, according Fair’s model, “Mr. Trump’s vote share would ordinarily be as high as 56.1 percent. But that’s before factoring in his personality.” Even with Trump’s temperament pulling down his total, he’ll still win, the Yale Model concludes. His vote should end up at about 54 percent. His Democratic opponent is expected to get only 45.4 percent.
American University professor Allan Lichtman, one of the few political prognosticators in 2016 who predicted Trump would win, has come to the same conclusion. He too believes the president will win again next year. His method involves examining 13 determinants ranging from whether there’s a serious third-party candidate to the health of the economy.
“Trump wins again in 2020 unless six of 13 key factors turn against him,” Lichtman told CNN this week. “I have no final verdict yet because much could change during the next year. Currently, the President is down only three keys: Republican losses in the  midterm elections, the lack of a foreign policy success, and the president’s limited appeal to voters.” More
This is the same guy who was the only one to predict a Donald Trump win in 2016 and now he’s saying it’s likely to happen again.
Democrats go insane on Twitter:
@cher There is no way in HELL I will give up!! And besides, what do these “experts” really know? They are probably on his payroll😲 Donald Trump will be re-elected: Expert analysts expect president to win second term despite low poll numbers https://t.co/b3a1Y4MH63
— Betsy🌺 #CherCrew (@BetsyNevil3) May 30, 2019
This is damn scary. Several prominent, nonpartisan experts are predicting Trump is likely to win second term despite low poll numbers. I don’t even want to imagine how America will be damaged at the end of a Trump second term.https://t.co/wRXBUgGfaC
— Sol (@forwardarc) June 1, 2019
Without even knowing who he is up against? What if it were Michelle Obama? He would get absolutely smoked.
— peter james (@p_james68) May 30, 2019
The fix is in?
— Steve Crouch (@crouch_steve) May 30, 2019
Yeah he may need another 4 years to get a plan together to figure out how he’s gonna stay out of jail when he isn’t president the shackles will wait @realDonaldTrump pretty sure there are all kinds of sealed Trump crime documentation just waiting for that day.
— Hurske Ichor-Shroud The Deplored (@Opions_Count) May 30, 2019
That’s not going to happen and printing crap like this is partly to blame for the shitshow we currently reside in.
— Sandi🌊 (@MambaPdx) May 29, 2019
Maybe he’ll stroke out between now & then.
— Righteous Bitch (@CynicalAcerbic) May 29, 2019
Trump Derangement Syndrome has morphed into a full-blown mental health crisis in the Democratic Party and it continues to overfeed their childish temper tantrums and complete insanity!